Leeds United v Brighton Premier League Betting Tips 15/05/22
Relegation-threatened Leeds find themselves trenched in the Premier League’s bottom three and in poor form. They face a tough opponent in Brighton this weekend, with the Seagulls in fine form as they push for a top-half finish. Ultimately, Leeds must win to keep chase with the teams above them and a defeat could end their two-year spell in the Premier League. This could make for a tense match at Elland Road on Sunday. The fixture kicks off at 2p.m.
Leeds are on a three-match losing run following home defeats against Man City (4-0) and Chelsea (3-0) and a 2-1 defeat at Arsenal. The Whites’ only recent point came in a 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace and the downturn in form has seen them fall into the relegation zone. Currently, Leeds are level on points with Burnley in 17th, but the Clarets have a game in hand. Brighton are unbeaten in their last three and capped this run with a 4-0 home victory over Man United last time out. The Seagulls also thrashed Wolves 3-0 in their previous game. Impressive form leaves the South Coast side in ninth place, boosting their chances of a top-half finish.
Looking at the team news, Leeds’ winger Raphinha and Patrick Bamford could be in contention to return. Although, the Whites will be without Dan James and Luke Ayling due to suspension. Also, Tyler Roberts (thigh), Adam Forshaw (knee), Stuart Dallas (thigh) and Jack Harrison (knock) are out. For Brighton, Jeremy Sarmiento is doubtful and Jakub Moder (knee) and Enock Mwepu (groin) will not feature.
Even though Leeds are in poor form and heading towards the drop, they are still favourites to win this clash. However, a Whites home win at Elland Road seems unlikely as they have only won once in their last eight home matches and they are winless in their last three. As a result, picking a Leeds win at 13/8, provided by Unibet, could be an outside choice. A draw could be more likely as these two sides played out a 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture this season. Also, there is good value on a tie, with SpreadEx offering 27/10. On current form though, Brighton seems the clear choice in the match winner market for this game. In three of their last four away matches, the Seagulls have beaten Arsenal, Tottenham and Wolves. Brighton also has an impressive record against Leeds, winning in eight of the last ten meetings. Due to this, our matchwinner pick is Brighton at 7/4, provided by Bet365.
Under/Over Total Goals
Moving on to the under/over total goals market, there is decent value in going for either a low or high scorer this weekend. Firstly, there have been few goals in the recent head to heads between Leeds and Brighton. The last five meetings have seen under 2.5 goals and two of their last three matches have seen under 1.5 goals. As a result, there is good value on backing Sky Bet’s 1/1 odds. However, looking at recent results, backing over 2.5 goals could be a better option. In six of their last seven home matches, Leeds has seen over 2.5 goals. Brighton has also seen high-scoring results with over 2.5 goals in four of their last five away. Our pick is VBet’s 13/15 odds for an over 2.5 goals scoreline at Elland Road.
Because we are expecting goals in Leeds on Sunday, more value can be found in the goalscorer market. For Leeds, there are few good picks, however, as the Whites have netted just once in their last four matches. But, if fit, top scorer Raphinha is likely to be the best pick with ten goals this season. Sporting Index offers the best returns for the Brazilian to strike at 27/10. Alternatively, Brighton’s Leandro Trossard continued his impressive scoring streak last weekend and we are backing the Belgian to hit the net again. Trossard has scored four in his last five for Brighton, now making him the Seagull’s top scorer. At 4/1 odds, provided by PaddyPower, there is good value on backing the Belgian midfielder to score again.
It is now or never for Leeds if they want to preserve their Premier League status. But, standing in their way is an in-form Brighton side, who should provide tough opposition. If you select any of our tips this weekend, please ensure you always gamble responsibly. Enjoying the match is always the most important aspect when placing a bet. Also, be aware that our tips always intend to show good value among leading bookmakers. They are not guaranteed to win. For more detail on bookmaker’s available free bets, please check out our homepage for up-to-date, great value betting offers.